Terna Energy: Poetry in Motion

May 17th, 2022

What’s new? Watching TEN’s Investor Day and going through their 2022-2029 capacity and financial targets, brought to our mind the magnificent quote from the late Greek composer and political activist Mikis Theodorakis*, describing his emotional bond with Greek poet Konstantinos Kavafis: ‘’He stands so high, and my inspiration cannot reach him’’. In a totally trivial association to the above…

OTE: Good Q1 2022; Guidance Unchanged

May 12th, 2022

What’s new? OTE published Q1 sales up 4.7% and clean EBITDA(L) +6% yoy (E319m*), with Greece +5% yoy (E314m); OTE cited the favorable base effect from last year and its more-for-more commercial strategy (BB, mobile) as the reasons for the good underlying performance.

PPC: Windfall Tax Vs Windfall Upside

May 11th, 2022

What’s new? Surging electricity and gasoline prices, driven by high natural gas and oil prices, have been dominating low-level / day-to-day politics in Greece ever since Russia invaded Ukraine (we hope Ukrainian people fighting for their lives and their country are not paying any attention to this).

Sarantis: Tough 2022

May 10th, 2022

What’s new? Q4/FY 2021 results were weak and below our estimates once adjusted for one-off items. FY sales/EBITDA/net income came in at E408m/E60m/E40m or +4%/-5%/+4% yoy. But if you take out E3.6m of revaluation gains (land plot sale in Romania), FY net income was E36.5m or -5.5% yoy; while H2 net income was down -25% yoy (adjusted).

Motor Oil (OI): Diversifying Away from Refining – Part 2

May 9th, 2022

What’s new? MOH announced it will buy a 29.8% stake in Ellaktor from Greenhill Investments and Kiloman Holdings (controlled by two Greek shipping tycoons) for E182m/E1.75 per share @ 18% premium vs last closing. More importantly, MOH will buy 75% stake in the soon to be spun off renewables (mostly wind) business of Ellaktor (no. 2 in RES/wind), with an EV of E1.0bn or c. E2m/MW or 12x EBITDA 2021. Lastly, the managing shareholder of Ellaktor, Reggeborgh (30.52% stake), will proceed with a public offering for the minority shares (x-MOH) it does not own for E1.75 per share.